APOCALYPSE ON HAIR TRIGGER

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A NUCLEAR ATTACK COULD HAPPEN IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES.

OUR WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION ARE BEING PROTECTED WITH NIXON ERA TECHNOLOGY

THE THRESHOLD FOR APOCALYPSE IS LOWER THAN WE THINK


When the Cold War ended in 1991, many people around the world breathed a collective sigh of relief. It seemed that the possibility of nuclear annihilation had been averted.

Yet there's no time for complacency. A nuclear apocalypse is a very real possibility in America's future. The United States and Russia are once again ramping up their nuclear arsenals. Relations between Russia and the United States are actually at their worst point in 20 years. In some ways, certain things are worse than they were in the Cold War. In the Cold War there were more actually more international security measures put into place to prevent an incident than there are today.

As Russia's former minister of foreign affairs Ivanov stated, "In the Cold War, we created mechanisms of security. A huge number of treaties and documents helped us to avoid a big and serious military crash. Now the threat of a war is higher than during the Cold War." Trust is the most important mechanism in preventing a catastrophe. A five minute phone call between two heads of state could be the difference between the life and death of millions of people. Yet with threat levels rising, the question is whether Russia would indeed take that phone call.

And given America's involvement in Ukraine, as well as crossing paths with Russia in Syria, it doesn't look like things are getting better in the trust department.

Meanwhile, the Doomsday Clock, (an international device created to measure the possibility of a worldwide disaster) is now three minutes to midnight - which means it's at its worst point in 30 years, since the height of Cold War era, nuclear tensions.

And even if no nuclear activity were to happen between Russia and America, there are still many other factors at play that could still lead to nuclear apocalypse. For one thing, China, Pakistan and India all have nuclear weapons. The other reality is that America's nuclear weapons are much less secure and safe than the public would like to believe.


OUR WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION

ARE BEING PROTECTED WITH NIXON ERA TECHNOLOGY

When visiting a U.S. Air Force nuclear silo, you would probably expect to encounter the best of the best technology keeping our weapons secure. One thing you probably wouldn't expect, however, is eight inch floppy disks. When Leslie Stahl of CBS's 60 minutes reported from a Wyoming nuclear control center, she found that the facilities developed in the Cold War era were still operating off of technology developed in the 1960's.

Now the missiles themselves have been updated numerous times to make them safer and more reliable. But these bases have not changed much since the Nixon administration. Leslie Stahl even reported missileers struggling with the analog phones at the facilities. The connection on these phones is reported to be bad - so bad in fact that the missileers reported struggling to hear people on the other end of the line, or had trouble dialing out. Now, if the President were to call one of these facilities with launch orders, it would thankfully not be over an analog phone. Yet it cannot be underscored that clear communication is key when dealing with weapons of mass destruction. The facility that Lesllie Stahl visited in her 60 minutes report was housing Minuteman-3s, a type of land-based nuclear missile 20 times more powerful than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima.

Some have argued that the old technology offers security against the threat of cyber warfare. In the 60 minutes interview, Maj. Gen. Jack Weinstein stated, "Those older systems provide us some, I will say, huge safety, when it comes to some cyber issues that we currently have in the world." Given that this technology is not hooked in to the internet, that does add a layer of protection and insulation from cyber threats. However, much of this technology is 50 years old. 50 years is ancient history as far as any technology is concerned. So when the technology is this old, it starts raising serious questions about the safety and reliability of the technology. Given that the purpose of this technology is to monitor weapons capable of blowing up New York sized cities, the need for safe and reliable hardware obviously can't be overstated enough.


LOW MORALE AMONG AMERICA'S NUCLEAR FORCES

In addition to technology concerns, there is also a serious morale problem among those serving in the nuclear forces of the military. Now during the Cold War, the nuclear forces had a certain level of prestige in the American military. But when the Cold War ended, this changed. The net result is that the motivated and talented officers seeking advancement in their careers do not want to go into the nuclear forces. So, some have argued, this has led to the less capable, and less motivated occupying the ranks of the nuclear forces.

In 2014, there was even a scandal where the entire Air Force chain of command, of a missile base responsible for one-third of our land-based missiles, was removed because of involvement with drugs, and for cheating on an exam.


THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ACCIDENTAL APOCALYPSE

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Another threat is the very real chance of a major nuclear accident. In fact, there actually have been a number of harrowing, close calls on American soil: fires, plane crashes, fuel explosions, and even a bomb that was dropped on North Carolina by accident. The seriousness of these incidents may not have been disclosed at the times they happened. But today there are plenty of witness accounts and declassified government documents that show how close we have come to disaster. In Eric Schlosser's book 'Command and Control,' he discusses his findings after spending six years investigating a number of mishaps that occurred during the Cold War. In one incident, someone dropped a socket in a silo, and the socket dropped for about 70 feet. It pierced the missile, caused a fuel leak and then there was a huge explosion. Luckily there was no detonation, because of the safety mechanisms that were put into place - but it was still a hair-raising incident nevertheless. One of Schlosser's even more disturbing tales is that of a B-52 that experienced mechanical problems and dropped a nuclear bomb over Goldsboro, N.C in 1961. When it hit the ground, the firing signal was sent. But a single safety switch prevented a full-scale detonation of a powerful hydrogen bomb in North Carolina.

According to Eric Schlosser, the weapons themselves have been upgraded, and have more safety mechanisms put in place now than they did 30 years ago. But the problem is with the facilities maintaining these weapons (as mentioned earlier). In Stahl's 60 minutes report, Major General Jack Weistein discusses several instances of facilities in dire need of repair; he talks about how one of the doors protecting a capsule in an underground control center was broken. The solution? It was propped open with a crowbar and marked with a danger tag. He states that many things in the capsules and facilities housing these missiles are not even being manufactured anymore, which makes them difficult to replace or repair. Then he mentions another silo where a missile was pulled from the facility because water had seeped in.

There are also some major nuclear mishaps that have happened quite recently. In 2007, six nuclear-tipped cruise missiles were loaded onto a B-52 by mistake, flown across the country, and left unguarded on the tarmac. No one noticed this for 36 hours. That led then-Defense Secretary Robert Gates to ask the Air Force secretary and chief of staff to resign. In 2010, because of a technical glitch, a missile squadron at one of Wyoming's base's stopped receiving electronic messages from the missiles it was charged with monitoring.

This is also not to mention a particularly scary accident that almost put Russia and the U.S. on the path to nuclear war. In 1995, Norwegian and American researchers fired a rocket into the skies of northwestern Norway to study the northern lights. However, the four stage rocket flew directly through the same corridor that American Minutemen III missiles, equipped with nuclear warheads, would use to travel from the United States to Moscow. The Russian military was placed on high alert, and then President Boris Yeltsin activated the keys to launch nuclear weapons. He had less than 10 minutes to decide whether to issue the order to fire. President Yeltsin ended up leaving the Russian missiles in their silos that day, because relations between Russia and the United States were relatively trusting in 1995. But U.S arms expert Theodore Postol warned recently if a similar incident were to occur today, the results would be nuclear war.


APOCALYPSE IN 30 MINUTES

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What is even more horrifying about a nuclear incident is the fact that it can all happen very quickly.

Apparently the time between launching and then exploding a nuclear missile is only 30 minutes. Now, if the Russian or American government believed that they were under attack, a decision would have to be reached within a matter of minutes. This could take 10-15 minutes - maybe even less. In the case of actually launching a rocket, that would take 40-60 seconds, more or less. The rocket would then ignite, it would fly out of its silo, or its launch hall in a submarine, it would typically undergo powered flight for about maybe 150 - 300 seconds. The warheads would then float in the near vacuum of space under the influence of gravity and momentum, and in about 20-28 minutes would arrive at their targets, re-enter the atmosphere and explode. (Information from interview with Dr. Theodore Postol, a former advisor to the U.S. Chief of Naval Operations).


STATUS OF WORLD NUCLEAR FORCES

NATION NUMBER OF WEAPONS IN NUCLEAR ARSENAL
Russia 7300
United States 6970
France 300
China 260
United Kingdom 215
Pakistan 100-120
India 90-110
Israel 80
North Korea 10 or less

(Source: Federation of American Scientists)

Pakistan, India and Israel currently do not have nukes that are capable of attacking the United States; however, India is currently working on one that feasibly would be able to do such a thing.

INDIA AMPS UP NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES IN RESPONSE TO POTENTIAL THREAT FROM CHINA AND PAKISTAN

In 2016, India developed its first nuclear submarine, INS Arihant. Currently India is also building a top-secret nuclear city to produce thermonuclear weapons. This could unsettle Pakistan and China. A lengthy investigation by the Center for Public Integrity (CPI), including interviews with local residents, senior and retired Indian scientists and military officers connected to the nuclear program, and foreign experts and intelligence analysts, has uncovered some of the secrecy surrounding the new facility, parts of which are scheduled to open in 2016. This new facility will give India a nuclear capability - the ability to make many large-yield nuclear arms - that most experts say it presently lacks. India, according to former Australian nonproliferation chief John Carlson, is one of three countries that continue to produce fissile materials for nuclear weapons. The others are Pakistan and North Korea. (Foreign Policy, 12-16-15).

Even though India only has one nuclear submarine, a second is already in construction, with at least two more scheduled to be built. Each would be loaded with up to 12 nuclear-tipped missiles. The officer, who was not authorized to be named, said the fleet’s expansion gained a new sense of urgency after Chinese submarines sailed across the Bay of Bengal to Sri Lanka in September and October 2014, docking in a port facility in Colombo that had been built by Chinese engineers. A retired official who served inside the nuclear cell at the Indian prime minister’s office, the top organization that supervises the military nuclear program, stated that other uses besides submarines had been anticipated “for many years.” He pointed to a “thermonuclear bomb program” as “a beneficiary” and suggested India had no choice but to “develop a new generation of more powerful megaton weapons” if it was to maintain “credible minimum deterrence.” Previously this meant a bare minimum to prevent an attack on India,  but a new Indian doctrine in 2003 — in response to Pakistan’s increasingly aggressive nuclear posture altered this notion: “Nuclear retaliation to a first strike will be massive and designed to inflict unacceptable damage.” China, the retired official said, “has long had a thermonuclear capability, and if India is to have a strategic defense worth its salt, and become a credible power in the region, we need to develop a similar weapon and in deployable numbers.” U.S. and British officials have confirmed that they have been aware of this discussion among Indian scientists and soldiers for years. (Foreign Policy, 12-16-15).

WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION IN CHINA

Recently China has revealed plans for its new intercontinental missile, the world's largest-range weapon, which is capable of hitting London in 16 minutes and New York in 21 minutes. Professor He Qisong, a defence policy specialist at the Shanghai University of Political Science and Law, told the South China Morning Post: "No one questions the longest range of the DF-41 is near 15,000km. The missile also has an incredible speed of 30,000kmh, meaning it could hit anywhere on the planet in a matter of minutes. Military experts believe the DF-41 is capable of carrying a nuclear payload of ten independently targetable city-levelling nukes. For more information on this missile, read. (Express, 4-1-16). Also see "China Tests Its Most Dangerous Nuclear Weapon of All Time" (The National Interest, 8-19-15)


WHAT ARE THE REAL THREATS TO AMERICA? WHAT ARE OUR REAL PRIORITIES?

Given the information we have listed above, the threshold for a nuclear apocalypse is much lower than one would think and hope. This is not theory. This is very possible.

Nuclear war is an endgame with no winner. Everyone loses. Obviously neither Russia, America, nor most other countries wish to engage in such an activity. And yet, with heated relations between America and Russia ramping up to a 20 year high, the possibility of a full fledged nuclear war becomes increasingly likely. There are also the troubling tensions between India and Pakistan, along with the increasing power of China's own nuclear capabilities. And even if an international incident doesn't occur, the current state of America's missile silos is very troubling. So troubling that an accident might just happen on its own.

Yet instead of using the funds and resources to deal with this very real threat, America has been spending trillions over the threat of so called 'terrorism' from Islamic extremists. According to the Washington Post, Americans are more likely to die from their own furniture than terrorism. Then there is also all the hysteria that people are raising over the so called threat of assault weapons, even though in 2012, only 322 people on American soil died from any kind of rifle. (The New York Times).

Then there is the fact that our military is spending $400 billion on F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets, even though we're not fighting an enemy equipped with super sonic jets (Huffington Post).

And yet despite all the fear-mongering and mass spending over terrorism and other hot topic news items, very little is being said about the weapons of mass destruction lurking on American soil; not to mention the fact that these weapons of nuclear annihilation are being protected by antiquated technology.

So what are the real threats to America? What are our real priorities? This is something to think about.


RELEVANT LINKS

NUCLEAR WAR WITH RUSSIA

President Obama's New Cold War With Russia - What Are The Stakes? (World Future Fund Report)

Russia is unlike any other country on the planet. They are the one country that could wipe the United States off the face of the Earth in 45 minutes. Russia currently has the largest arsenal of nuclear warheads in the world, with 8,000 weapons in their arsenal (the U.S has up to 7,315). Yet with the rhetoric that the United States has been using against Russia as of late, you wouldn't realize this.

The Risk of Nuclear Catastrophe Is Greater Today Than During the Cold War (The World Post, 1-20-16)

“An Accidental Nuclear War between the U.S. and Russia is Possible”. Nuclear Holocaust in Just 30 Minutes – Former US Navy Advisor (Global Research, 12-13-15)

Former Defense Secretary Warns US is Pushing Towards Nuclear Apocalypse (Sputnik News, 12-3-15)

Could U.S.-Russia Tensions Go Nuclear? (Politico, 11-27-15)

How America and Russia Could Start a Nuclear War (National Interest, 5-7-15)

 

NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES ABROAD

Nuclear Winter on a Planetary Scale: The Biggest Threat to Mankind Virtually No One Is Talking About (Alternet, 4-8-16)

China Set To Deploy Longest-range Nuclear Missile (Financial Times, 3-31-16)

India Is Building a Top-Secret Nuclear City to Produce Thermonuclear Weapons, Experts Say (Foreign Policy, 12-18-15)

China Tests Its Most Dangerous Nuclear Weapon of All Time (National Interest, 8-19-15)

 

NUCLEAR THREATS ON AMERICAN SOIL

US Nuclear Weapons Complex Leaves 'Legacy of Death on American Soil' (Common Dreams, 12-11-15)

60 Minutes Report: Who's Minding The Nukes? (CBS News, 4-27-14)

Why U.S. Nuclear Missile Silos Rely on Decades-Old Technology (Slate, 4-28-14)

Command and Control (Eric Schlosser's Book on Amazon)